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Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound (federal electoral district)

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Coordinates: 44°27′N 80°58′W / 44.45°N 80.97°W / 44.45; -80.97
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For the provincial electoral district, see Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound (provincial electoral district). For the defunct provincial electoral district, see Bruce (Ontario provincial electoral district).
"Bruce (electoral district)" redirects here. For Australian electoral district, see Division of Bruce.
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Ontario electoral district
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound in relation to other Ontario electoral districts
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Alex Ruff
Conservative
District created1933
First contested1935
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]106,475
Electors (2015)81,389
Area (km²)[2]6,447
Pop. density (per km²)16.5
Census division(s)Bruce County, Grey County
Census subdivision(s) Cities:
Owen Sound
Towns:
Hanover
Townships:
Arran-Elderslie, Chatsworth, Georgian Bluffs, Grey Highlands, Meaford, Northern Bruce Peninsula, South Bruce Peninsula, Southgate, West Grey
First Nations reserves:
Neyaashiinigmiing, Saugeen 29

Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound (formerly known as Bruce, Bruce—Grey and Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound) is a federal electoral district that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1935.

The riding once had a reputation of being a swing riding, but it has become more conservative in the last 20 years. It produced many close results over its early years.

History

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The district was created in 1933 from Bruce North and Bruce South and was known as "Bruce" riding. Its name was changed in 1975 to "Bruce—Grey", to "Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound" in 2000, to "Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound" in 2003, and to Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound in 2004.

This riding was left unchanged after the 2012 electoral redistribution and 2022 electoral redistribution.

Members of Parliament

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This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Bruce
Riding created from Bruce North and Bruce South
18th  1935–1940     William Rae Tomlinson Liberal
19th  1940–1945
20th  1945–1949     Andrew Ernest Robinson Progressive Conservative
21st  1949–1953     Donald Buchanan Blue Liberal
22nd  1953–1957     Andrew Ernest Robinson Progressive Conservative
23rd  1957–1958
24th  1958–1962
25th  1962–1963
26th  1963–1965 John Loney
27th  1965–1968
28th  1968–1972     Ross Whicher Liberal
29th  1972–1974
30th  1974–1979 Crawford Douglas
Bruce—Grey
31st  1979–1980     Gary Gurbin Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984
33rd  1984–1988
34th  1988–1993 Gus Mitges
35th  1993–1997     Ovid Jackson Liberal
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound
38th  2004–2006     Larry Miller Conservative
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
39th  2006–2008     Larry Miller Conservative
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019
43rd  2019–2021 Alex Ruff
44th  2021–present

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[3]

Languages: 90.7% English, 2.1% German, 1.5% Pennsylvania German

Religions: 55.9% Christian (12.7% Catholic, 11.2% United Church, 4.7% Anglican, 4.0% Presbyterian, 3.3% Lutheran, 2.9% Anabaptist, 2.3% Baptist, 1.0% Pentecostal, 13.8% Other), 41.9% None

Median income: $38,000 (2020)

Average income: $48,760 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[4] 2016[5] 2011[6]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 102,695 92.29% 98,635 93.77% 98,745 95.12%
Indigenous 4,280 3.85% 4,450 4.23% 3,580 3.45%
African 1,285 1.15% 545 0.52% 390 0.38%
South Asian 995 0.89% 365 0.35% 435 0.42%
East Asian[b] 580 0.52% 535 0.51% 335 0.32%
Southeast Asian[c] 575 0.52% 235 0.22% 125 0.12%
Latin American 355 0.32% 70 0.07% 85 0.08%
Middle Eastern[d] 320 0.29% 200 0.19% 20 0.02%
Other/multiracial[e] 400 0.36% 170 0.16% 110 0.11%
Total responses 111,270 98.17% 105,190 97.69% 103,815 97.5%
Total population 113,348 100% 107,679 100% 106,475 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Election results

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Graph of election results in Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

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2021 Canadian federal election: Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Alex Ruff 28,727 49.2 +3.1 $73,440.24
Liberal Anne Marie Watson 14,738 25.2 -4.9 $50,410.51
New Democratic Christopher Neudorf 7,939 13.6 +1.9 $8,224.88
People's Anna-Marie Fosbrooke 4,697 8.0 +5.2 $7,061.94
Green Ashley Michelle Lawrence 1,789 3.1 -5.7 $0.00
Independent Reima Kaikkonen 524 0.9 – $9,850.00
Total valid votes 58,414
Total rejected ballots 394
Turnout 58,808 64.29
Eligible voters 91,472
Conservative hold Swing +4.0
Source: Elections Canada[7]
2019 Canadian federal election: Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Alex Ruff 26,830 46.1 +7.26 $80,258.91
Liberal Michael Den Tandt 17,485 30.1 -8.74 $85,055.44
New Democratic Chris Stephen 6,797 11.7 +0.57 $6,077.71
Green Danielle Valiquette 5,114 8.8 +5.45 none listed
People's Bill Townsend 1,614 2.8 – $0.00
Libertarian Daniel Little 321 0.6 – $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 58,161 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 303
Turnout 58,464 65.6
Eligible voters 89,114
Conservative hold Swing +8.00
Source: Elections Canada[8][9]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Larry Miller 26,297 46.68 -9.62 $121,344.93
Liberal Kimberley Love 21,879 38.84 +22.77 $77,135.87
New Democratic David McLaren 6,270 11.13 -6.51 $28,809.26
Green Chris Albinati 1,887 3.35 -6.64 $4,346.25
Total valid votes/Expense limit 56,333 100.00   $218,310.52
Total rejected ballots 212 0.37
Turnout 56,545 68.91
Eligible voters 82,056
Conservative hold Swing -16.20
Source: Elections Canada[10][11]
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Larry Miller 28,744 56.30 +8.64 –
New Democratic Karen Gventer 9,008 17.64 +8.01 –
Liberal Kimberley Love 8,203 16.07 +1.77 –
Green Emma Jane Hogbin 5,099 9.99 -17.18 –
Total valid votes 51,054 100.00 –
Total rejected ballots 227 0.44 +0.02
Turnout 51,281 65.04 +3.68
Eligible voters 78,848 – –
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Larry Miller 22,975 47.66 -0.52 $83,330
Green Dick Hibma 13,095 27.17 +14.26 $63,875
Liberal Thomas Noble 6,892 14.30 -13.26 $39,399
New Democratic Jill McIllwraith 4,640 9.63 -1.71 $9,434
Christian Heritage Joel Kidd 599 1.24 * $1,377
Total valid votes/Expense limit 48,201 100.00 $84,478
Total rejected ballots 204 0.42
Turnout 48,405 61.36 –
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Larry Miller 25,133 48.18 +3.2 $72,117
Liberal Verona Jackson 14,378 27.56 -8.2 $52,377
Green Shane Jolley 6,735 12.91 +8.7 $17,349
New Democratic Jill McIllwraith 5,918 11.34 -1.7 $11,210
Total valid votes/Expense limit 52,164 100.00

Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound

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2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Larry Miller 22,411 45.0 -6.0
Liberal Ovid Jackson 17,824 35.8 -8.4
New Democratic Sebastian Ostertag 6,516 13.1 +8.2
Green Alex Drossos 2,076 4.2
Christian Heritage Steven J. Taylor 982 2.0
Total valid votes 49,809 100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

Bruce—Grey

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2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ovid Jackson 19,822 44.2 +7.4
Alliance Murray Peer 15,960 35.6 +2.4
Progressive Conservative Allen Wilford 6,872 15.3 -7.6
New Democratic Karen Gventer 2,166 4.8 -2.3
Total valid votes 44,820 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ovid Jackson 17,896 36.8 -12.3
Reform Murray Peer 16,161 33.2 +8.5
Progressive Conservative John Middlebro 11,139 22.9 +4.1
New Democratic Colleen Anne Purdon 3,446 7.1 +2.8
Total valid votes 48,642 100.0
1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ovid Jackson 25,693 49.1 +10.2
Reform Alan Aston 12,939 24.7
Progressive Conservative Stew O'Keefe 9,836 18.8 -22.1
New Democratic Cathy Hird 2,259 4.3 -14.7
National Stuart Marwick 1,001 1.9
Green Jim Garrity 320 0.6 0.0
Natural Law John Wolter 158 0.3
Libertarian Ralph Hanke 152 0.3
Total valid votes 52,358 100.0
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gus Mitges 19,748 40.9 -23.9
Liberal Douglas M. Thompson 18,796 38.9 +15.6
New Democratic Cathy Hird 9,183 19.0 +7.0
Green Don Cianci 317 0.7
Commonwealth of Canada George Bothwell 267 0.6
Total valid votes 48,311 100.0
1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gary M. Gurbin 27,611 64.7 +17.4
Liberal Ron Oswald 9,931 23.3 -17.3
New Democratic Norma Peterson 5,112 12.0 +0.7
Total valid votes 42,654 100.0
1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gary M. Gurbin 18,326 47.3 -5.1
Liberal Rodger D. Schwass 15,735 40.6 +5.2
New Democratic Malcolm A. Kennett 4,391 11.3 -0.3
Libertarian Jim Turner 299 0.8 +0.2
Total valid votes 38,751 100.0
1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gary M. Gurbin 21,219 52.4 +9.9
Liberal Crawford Douglas 14,314 35.4 -12.2
New Democratic John Giese 4,723 11.7 +1.7
Libertarian Norman Helen Watson 223 0.6
Total valid votes 40,479 100.0

Bruce

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1974 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Crawford Douglas 17,158 47.5 +2.2
Progressive Conservative John Loney 15,346 42.5 -0.7
New Democratic Gene Kiviaho 3,586 9.9 -1.5
Total valid votes 36,090 100.0
1972 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ross Whicher 14,974 45.3 -1.4
Progressive Conservative John Loney 14,297 43.3 +0.6
New Democratic Thomas Thompson 3,772 11.4 +0.8
Total valid votes 33,043 100.0
1968 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ross Whicher 12,775 46.7 +7.1
Progressive Conservative John Loney 11,674 42.7 -7.3
New Democratic Eric Nelson 2,911 10.6 +0.1
Total valid votes 27,360 100.0
1965 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative John Loney 6,846 49.9 -1.6
Liberal Kent Lamont 5,424 39.6 -4.7
New Democratic Thomas Morris 1,443 10.5
Total valid votes 13,713 100.0
1963 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative John Loney 7,451 51.5 -0.1
Liberal John H. Mackenzie 6,401 44.3 +2.6
Independent Alex Scarrow 611 4.2
Total valid votes 14,463 100.0
1962 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Andrew E. Robinson 7,604 51.6 -10.7
Liberal John H. Mackenzie 6,141 41.7 +4.0
Co-operative Commonwealth Lorne Richards 706 4.8
Social Credit Sandy Macdonald 279 1.9
Total valid votes 14,730 100.0
1958 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Andrew E. Robinson 8,225 62.3 +4.8
Liberal Chester M. Merriam 4,975 37.7 -4.8
Total valid votes 13,200 100.0
1957 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Andrew E. Robinson 8,225 57.5 +6.3
Liberal Donald B. Blue 6,089 42.5 -6.3
Total valid votes 14,314 100.0
1953 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Andrew E. Robinson 7,132 51.2 +1.0
Liberal Donald B. Blue 6,808 48.8 +4.3
Total valid votes 13,940 100.0
1949 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Donald B. Blue 7,517 50.1 +5.8
Progressive Conservative Andrew E. Robinson 6,685 44.6 -3.2
Co-operative Commonwealth Aubrey John Mercer 795 5.3
Total valid votes 14,997 100.0
1945 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Andrew E. Robinson 6,933 47.8 +6.3
Liberal Carl Whicher 6,430 44.3 -14.1
Co-operative Commonwealth Moffatt Jamieson 1,137 7.8
Total valid votes 14,500 100.0

Note: Progressive Conservative vote is compared to "National Government" vote in 1940 election.

1940 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal William Rae Tomlinson 7,420 58.4 +12.8
National Government Leigh H. Snider 5,275 41.6 +7.1
Total valid votes 12,695 100.0

Note: "National Government" vote is compared to Conservative vote in 1935 election.

1935 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal William Rae Tomlinson 6,831 45.7
Conservative Gideon H. Ruttle 5,149 34.4
Reconstruction William Guy Nicholson 2,973 19.9
Total valid votes 14,953 100.0

See also

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References

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  • "Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound (federal electoral district) (Code 35026) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 1, 2012.

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ Statistics Canada
  2. ^ Statistics Canada
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
  7. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
  8. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  9. ^ "Election night results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 29, 2019.
  10. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound, 30 September 2015
  11. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine
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Riding history from the Library of Parliament:

44°27′N 80°58′W / 44.45°N 80.97°W / 44.45; -80.97

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